Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +14 (67-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cornley | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Battle | 26 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| D. Jackson | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Morrissey | 24 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Pringle | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Jones | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Walker | 21 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Brooks | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Hassell | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Moore | 35 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| R. Hummel | 35 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| C. Kramer | 31 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Grant | 25 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| M. Green | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Johnson | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Crump | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| N. Calasan | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Martin | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Reid | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Riddell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Mocas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wohlford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Sutor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter