Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young | 37 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Cox | 35 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Houston | 34 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| K. Korver | 24 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Parker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hall | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| B. Eaddy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Slack | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 34 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| D. Johnson | 33 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| B. Richardson | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Holloway | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Sampay | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Holtz | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Dyer | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Odzic | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter