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2008-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 58.5% 41.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 3.9% 96.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Log Adjusted 13.6% 86.4% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +10 (65-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 35 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 3 3 0 2 7 4 -
R. Coleman 30 1-8 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
E. Udoh 28 3-4 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 4 1 7 13 -
K. Grady 28 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 11 5 -
A. Wright 25 2-5 1-3 3-4 2 4 2 0 1 8 10 -
D. Sims 15 2-7 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
D. Merritt 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
Z. Gibson 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Shepherd 10 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
C.J. Lee 4 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Butler 40 4-12 2-5 0-0 2 9 2 0 3 10 8 -
D. Lighty 38 5-6 1-1 1-3 4 1 2 0 1 12 12 -
O. Hunter 35 7-11 0-1 1-2 12 2 1 1 4 15 16 -
K. Koufos 31 4-13 2-5 2-3 4 0 0 1 1 12 3 -
J. Diebler 26 3-6 2-3 6-6 5 2 1 0 0 14 16 -
E. Turner 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 0 -2 -
M. Terwilliger 10 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
D. Lauderdale 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Wallace 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter