Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +40 (91-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 33 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| W. Gardner | 30 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| F. Clayman | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. McFarland | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| A. Nigon | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Simmons | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J. Woodard | 16 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| R. Aguilar | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Cohen | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. McGinley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Van Tassel | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Giddens | 30 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| R. Martinez | 26 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Toppert | 24 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| D. Gary | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Harris | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Faris | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Prentice | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Wills | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Pegues | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter