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2008-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 71.3% 28.7% -
Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.8% 15.2% -
Log Adjusted 84.7% 15.3% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.D. Vassallo 36 7-14 2-5 0-0 5 2 1 1 3 16 8 -
D. Washington 32 5-8 0-0 2-4 1 1 1 1 1 12 7 -
J. Allen 32 6-11 0-0 3-4 3 0 6 0 3 15 10 -
J. Thompson 25 5-9 0-1 0-0 5 0 2 1 1 10 8 -
M. Delaney 25 1-5 0-4 2-2 1 3 1 0 6 4 -2 -
H. Thorns 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 4 4 -
L. Witcher 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Diakite 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Hudson 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
T. Bell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hickson 35 4-6 0-0 13-17 4 2 3 2 3 21 23 -
G. Grant 34 4-9 0-1 3-3 4 2 1 1 6 11 4 -
B. McCauley 34 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
C. Fells 32 4-8 3-6 3-5 3 4 3 2 4 14 14 -
J. Gonzalez 29 4-7 3-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 11 9 -
D. Horner 14 2-4 1-2 3-3 2 0 0 2 1 8 7 -
T. Smith 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 0 5 -
M. Johnson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 0 3 -

* = starter