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Portland Pilots 50
@
Santa Clara Broncos 52
2008-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 7.9% 92.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - ✓
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 ✓ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% - ✓
Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 17.9% 82.1% - ✓

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +2 (52-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 37 9-16 4-6 1-1 3 1 1 0 2 23 10 -
R. Smeulders 31 2-15 0-2 2-2 16 4 1 2 3 6 11 -
J. Stohl 28 4-7 3-5 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 13 7 -
K. Knutson 27 0-4 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 2 1 2 6 -
S. Watson 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 2 4 -
E. Niedermeyer 18 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
T. Ito 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Sikma 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Hannibal 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Angley 40 3-7 2-4 6-9 1 5 0 0 1 14 12 -
M. Henke 34 4-9 1-5 2-2 6 3 1 0 1 11 11 -
J. Gunderson 29 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bryant 27 6-13 0-0 3-3 13 1 1 5 2 15 20 -
B. Dowdell 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 0 -1 -
A. Zimmermann 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 2 3 4 8 -
O. Mbanugo 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
C. Johnson 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Latimer 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter