Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -14 (57-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 38 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| E. Clark | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Smith | 29 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| E. Sosa | 25 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D. Padgett | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Palacios | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. McGee | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| P. Knowles | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Caracter | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Farley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Matthews | 34 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| L. Hayward | 29 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. McNeal | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Acker | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Cubillan | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. James | 18 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| O. Barro | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Burke | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Blackledge | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Christopherson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Fitzgerald | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter