Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✗ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -17 (76-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Mccants | 0 | 7-19 | -2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | ||
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | ||
| H. Claytor | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | ||
| L. Sanders | 0 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 18 | 23 | |||
| E. Larkins | 0 | 5-12 | - | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cheek | 0 | 1-4 | - | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | ||||
| J. Thomas | 0 | 3-14 | 1-6 | - | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | ||
| C. Black | 0 | 6-10 | - | 3-5 | 6 | 15 | 11 | ||||
| W. Smith | 0 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 8-10 | 8 | 17 | 10 | ||||
| Player #5335 | 0 | 5-13 | -6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 |
* = starter