Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -4 (72-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Han | 40 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| H. Allen | 35 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Johnson | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Evanovich | 25 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| G. Nero | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Y. Hawkins | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| W. Edney | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. O'Sullivan | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Jordan | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Middleton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fisher | 39 | 5-20 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| S. Hodge | 38 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 14 | - |
| T. Lewis | 35 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Nelson | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Egemonye | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| A. Patterson | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Gordon | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Williamson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter