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2008-02-03

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 76.8% 23.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.4% 51.6% -
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 63.2% 36.8% -
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.7% 15.3% -
Log Adjusted 84.8% 15.2% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -11 (73-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough 41 5-14 0-0 12-14 21 0 0 0 1 22 28 -
Q. Thomas 36 3-5 0-0 3-4 5 6 0 1 2 9 14 -
W. Ellington 35 3-9 1-2 1-2 4 2 0 0 3 8 2 -
M. Ginyard 31 0-3 0-1 4-4 4 1 0 0 4 4 2 -
D. Thompson 28 4-7 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 1 3 11 8 -
D. Green 26 7-15 4-9 1-1 5 0 1 1 5 19 6 -
A. Stepheson 16 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 2 1 7 10 -
W. Graves 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
T. Lawson 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 3 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rich 42 10-16 0-3 2-3 6 2 1 0 5 22 10 -
T. Douglas 39 3-20 1-9 5-6 2 3 5 0 2 12 0 -
U. Echefu 32 3-8 0-2 3-4 7 0 2 1 1 9 10 -
I. Swann 30 4-12 4-12 0-0 0 3 3 0 1 12 5 -
R. Mims 27 3-5 0-2 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 7 8 -
R. Reid 22 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 2 0 5 7 -
J. Vaughn 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Zitani 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
J. DeMercy 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
B. Hoff 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter