Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +19 (79-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gary | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J.R. Giddens | 30 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Faris | 27 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Toppert | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Wills | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Martinez | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Prentice | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Smith | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -6 | - |
| J. Harris | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Pegues | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Adams | 28 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| J. Darger | 28 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| C. Bailey | 25 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Shaw | 25 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. Terry | 22 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Wallace | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Cage | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter