Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -3 (81-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McKiver | 38 | 9-16 | 7-13 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 31 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Dowell | 27 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Toney | 25 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Lewis | 18 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Cousin | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Williams | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Smith | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Pane | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Malone | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. McGloster | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 37 | 11-20 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 16 | - |
| M. O'Donnell | 36 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Noel | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Davis | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| C. Cartwright | 17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Battle | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Yotio | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Young | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter