Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee Volunteers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | -1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -5 (71-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee Volunteers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lofton | 31 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| W. Chism | 26 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J.P. Prince | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 22 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| R. Smith | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Crews | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Howell | 18 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Smith | 15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Tabb | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| B. Williams | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Pearl | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 37 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 5-9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | - |
| B. Stewart | 34 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J. Varnado | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| P. Turner | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Benock | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Johnson | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Bailey | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
* = starter