Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -13 (59-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ruffin | 38 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| A. Warren | 36 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 30 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Wilson | 25 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Crouch | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Singh | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| M. Salley | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. Austin | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Cole-Scott | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| W. Egolf | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Phillips | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ely | 39 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| J. Holsinger | 35 | 4-17 | 2-12 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| D. Granger | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Lacey | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| N. Garner | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Couisnard | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| V. Gomez | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter