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LSU Tigers 72
@
Alabama Crimson Tide 81
2008-02-02

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 10.6% 89.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - ✓
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 ✓ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% - ✓
Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.0% 64.0% - ✓

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Temple 40 2-6 1-2 2-2 9 5 3 0 5 7 13 -
M. Thornton 36 7-19 4-11 4-4 3 1 1 0 4 22 4 -
A. Randolph 34 4-14 0-0 5-6 12 1 1 2 4 13 11 -
C. Johnson 27 3-7 1-3 6-6 4 0 0 1 0 13 11 -
T. Martin 26 3-7 2-5 4-4 4 4 0 0 1 12 12 -
A. Farrer 24 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Q. Thornton 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Spencer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gee 38 5-10 2-5 3-5 2 2 2 0 1 15 10 -
R. Hendrix 36 9-18 0-0 1-4 17 2 4 3 3 19 24 -
B. Hollinger 34 3-6 2-5 2-2 2 6 0 0 1 10 11 -
S. Hillman 25 2-4 1-2 4-4 2 2 4 1 2 9 12 -
M. Riley 24 6-14 3-7 4-6 5 1 1 1 0 19 13 -
D. Jemison 18 1-2 0-0 2-3 6 2 0 0 3 4 7 -
R. Pickett 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 0 -
M. Torrance 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Tubbs 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Y. Coleman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter