Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McGee | 33 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Johnson | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| M. Kemp | 33 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| D. Johnson | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Fields | 23 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| L. Burleson | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Ellis | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Cooke | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Phillips | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll | 39 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - |
| G. Wilkinson | 32 | 9-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 25 | - |
| K. Clark | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Wesley | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| T. Newbold | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. DuCharme | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Williams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Stephens | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Formisano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Niang | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter