Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (41.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +39 (99-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.