Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +4 (58-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Troyer | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| A. Brown | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Johnson | 28 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 8 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Ford | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 20 | - |
| M. Kirby | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Smith | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Morgan | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Doran | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Dawkins | 0 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. VanHollebeke | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| W. Price | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Young | 0 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| K. Lavender | 0 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Carter | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| S. Hanson | 33 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Payne | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| V. Oliver | 30 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Calegari | 29 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 16 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Portz | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Clark | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Harp | 0 | 3-16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -2 | - |
| H. Bates | 0 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 7-9 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| P. Mintun | 0 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| H. Donaghe | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Campbell | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
* = starter