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2008-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 17.0% 83.0% -
Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 38 3-10 1-7 3-4 4 4 3 0 4 10 7 -
Q. Prowell 35 5-9 2-4 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 12 9 -
Q. Robertson 35 1-7 0-1 2-3 3 3 1 0 3 4 1 -
F. Tolbert 32 10-19 5-8 7-8 8 2 2 1 0 32 26 -
L. Hargrove 25 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
R. Barrett 23 0-9 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 -5 -
M. Heramb 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
L. Williams 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster 36 6-11 4-9 0-0 7 2 3 0 2 16 15 -
A. Gordon 33 4-10 3-8 6-6 3 4 0 0 0 17 14 -
R. Neltner 28 2-6 0-0 0-1 7 3 1 1 1 4 9 -
A.J. Ogilvy 28 6-9 0-0 7-8 9 1 0 1 5 19 16 -
J. Beal 27 5-8 2-4 1-4 2 4 2 0 3 13 10 -
D. McClellan 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bell 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 1 -
A. Walker 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
G. Drake 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 4 1 2 2 -
A. Metcalfe 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter