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2008-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 7.2% 92.8% -
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% -
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -
Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% -
Log Adjusted 20.4% 79.6% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +15 (88-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Asbury 30 5-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 10 10 -
A. King 26 2-7 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Dews 25 5-6 3-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 15 12 -
J. McClinton 24 5-14 0-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 10 -1 -
E. Rios 23 1-3 0-1 2-4 0 2 1 0 4 4 0 -
R. Hicks 22 4-7 0-1 2-4 3 1 0 0 2 10 5 -
J. Graham 21 5-8 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 0 1 13 11 -
L. Hurdle 20 2-6 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 4 5 1 -
D. Collins 9 0-0 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 0 2 7 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nelson 32 6-12 0-3 9-14 6 4 2 1 0 21 22 -
J. Scheyer 29 3-4 1-2 2-3 3 3 1 0 0 9 12 -
G. Henderson 28 1-10 0-1 6-10 6 0 0 0 4 8 0 -
G. Paulus 25 4-11 4-10 4-4 6 3 1 0 3 16 12 -
K. Singler 24 4-8 3-6 3-4 5 2 1 3 1 14 16 -
N. Smith 17 3-6 3-5 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 9 3 -
L. Thomas 17 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
T. King 14 2-5 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
D. McClure 13 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Davidson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter