Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas | 33 | 7-21 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | - |
| L. Keeler | 30 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Hanson | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Anderson | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Vance | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Clark | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Lewis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Manley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Higgins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Diggs | 33 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| A. Scott | 33 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Barlow | 29 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
| C. Soto | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| S. Gates | 22 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Creppy | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B.J. Visman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter