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2008-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 66.2% 33.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +0.9 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 25.5% 74.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Log Adjusted 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +19 (80-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Hodge 34 5-10 2-7 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 13 7 -
N. Calathes 32 3-12 0-3 6-7 6 7 3 0 4 12 12 -
M. Speights 29 5-13 0-0 2-4 5 1 1 1 2 12 5 -
J. Lucas 26 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Werner 22 1-8 1-7 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 5 1 -
C. Parsons 22 2-5 0-2 2-4 3 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
A. Tyus 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
A. Allen 11 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
J. Mitchell 11 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -3 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Weems 35 7-12 3-4 0-0 4 5 1 1 1 17 15 -
P. Beverley 35 3-10 2-6 0-1 12 3 0 1 1 8 13 -
G. Ervin 27 5-9 0-2 5-6 3 6 1 0 2 15 14 -
S. Hill 21 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 2 3 5 7 -
C. Thomas 21 3-3 0-0 2-2 4 4 0 1 2 8 12 -
D. Townes 19 6-9 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 14 8 -
S. Welsh 17 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 5 -1 -
M. Washington 12 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
V. Hunter 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Britt 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Rakestraw 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter