Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Geiser | 33 | 5-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Wilson | 31 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Johnson | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Landry | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Jones | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Larson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Sharp | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Anderson | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Palacios | 30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| J. Mason | 23 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Kingman | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Banks | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| S. Taibi | 19 | 8-12 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 16 | - |
| W. Figures | 16 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Garrett | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter