Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✗ (25.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors -21 (57-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.