Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (26.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +34 (87-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.