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2008-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% -
Bradley-Terry 14.9% 85.1% -
Margin 6.8% 93.2% +14.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 19.5% 80.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +22 (91-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rice 38 6-15 1-9 7-8 2 3 3 0 6 20 7 -
R. Sanders 28 6-19 4-11 0-0 2 3 3 0 5 16 0 -
J. Oates 26 2-3 2-2 0-0 5 2 1 2 0 6 13 -
B. Paris 21 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 7 0 0 2 3 7 -
S. Spears 21 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Southern 21 3-5 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 1 1 8 8 -
T. Roche 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
C. Raji 15 4-7 0-1 0-1 5 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
T. Blair 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough 29 7-14 0-0 4-6 6 1 2 0 3 18 10 -
T. Lawson 28 4-6 0-2 8-9 3 10 3 0 0 16 26 -
D. Thompson 26 8-10 0-0 1-4 6 4 3 1 0 17 21 -
W. Ellington 25 6-10 2-5 0-0 5 5 0 0 3 14 11 -
M. Ginyard 25 4-6 1-1 1-2 2 0 3 0 1 10 8 -
D. Green 20 2-5 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 1 4 6 2 -
A. Stepheson 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 1 1 6 10 -
Q. Thomas 11 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 3 1 0 0 2 3 -
W. Graves 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Copeland 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Wood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Little 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Wooten 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J.B. Tanner 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Campbell 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. Moody 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter