Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +22 (91-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rice | 38 | 6-15 | 1-9 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 7 | - |
| R. Sanders | 28 | 6-19 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 0 | - |
| J. Oates | 26 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| B. Paris | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| S. Spears | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Southern | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Roche | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Raji | 15 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Blair | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| T. Lawson | 28 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - |
| D. Thompson | 26 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| W. Ellington | 25 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Graves | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Copeland | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Little | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wooten | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter