Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +20 (92-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. McCauley | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| G. Grant | 31 | 9-11 | 3-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Hickson | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Fells | 26 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| B. Costner | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| D. Horner | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Harris | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Ferguson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nelson | 38 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| G. Paulus | 33 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| K. Singler | 33 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| G. Henderson | 29 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| L. Thomas | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| N. Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. King | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. McClure | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Davidson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter