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2008-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% -
Margin 20.9% 79.1% +7.3 (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% -
Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.2% 23.8% -
Log Adjusted 76.4% 23.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Coleman 38 7-15 0-0 3-6 11 3 1 2 4 17 15 -
S. Tollackson 36 6-8 0-0 2-3 4 2 5 1 0 14 18 -
L. McKenzie 35 6-11 3-5 3-4 5 5 1 0 5 18 13 -
L. Westbrook 32 6-10 1-4 2-2 4 3 2 0 3 15 11 -
D. Johnson 28 4-6 0-2 0-2 2 1 1 1 1 8 6 -
A. Nolen 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 0 -
T. Busch 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Abu-Shamala 6 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 5 5 -
J. Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Hoffarber 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 34 6-14 2-4 5-5 3 2 3 0 5 19 8 -
R. Coleman 27 5-9 2-4 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 14 8 -
K. Grady 26 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -1 -
D. Sims 26 3-10 0-4 2-4 4 1 1 2 5 8 1 -
E. Udoh 24 1-5 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 3 1 3 7 -
Z. Gibson 16 2-4 1-3 2-4 3 0 1 1 1 7 7 -
D. Merritt 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Wright 14 1-4 1-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
J. Shepherd 13 1-4 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
C.J. Lee 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter