Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +18 (81-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Thomas | 28 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Bush | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. White | 22 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Holder | 20 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Gough | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Benson | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Sloan | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Agwumaro | 13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Fullenwider | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Moseley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Alexander | 39 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 8-14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| E. Bell | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| N. Shaw | 30 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| E. Williams | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| G. Fonzie | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| B. Akpan | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| S. Weaver | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Jacobs | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Pele | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Rogers | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter