Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 35 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| B. Richardson | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 28 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Sampay | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| E. Holloway | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Dyer | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Vandello | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Odzic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Josten | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Brown | 34 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Koch | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Viet | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| E. Coleman | 25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 17 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| K. Dunham | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Haak | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Montgomery | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Lundberg | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter