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2008-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Albany Great Danes UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 54.3% 45.7% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 (6.9 off)

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Lillis 36 9-16 1-1 0-0 6 3 0 1 4 19 9 -
B. Connelly 33 4-10 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 2 10 7 -
J. Iati 30 4-10 4-6 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 14 10 -
B. Wilson 23 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
J. Hastings 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Turley 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
T. Ambrose 13 3-5 1-1 1-3 6 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
J. Covington 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Martin 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Gifford 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greene 40 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 5 2 0 1 6 10 -
D. Proctor 39 6-12 0-0 3-5 8 3 0 1 1 15 14 -
R. Barbosa 38 5-11 1-6 3-8 3 3 0 0 3 14 6 -
B. Hodges 24 3-11 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 9 2 -
C. Johnson 22 7-10 0-0 4-7 2 0 2 5 0 18 17 -
M. Spadafora 19 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Fry 18 1-3 1-1 0-0 6 3 1 1 1 3 10 -

* = starter