Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -12 (77-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Anderson | 38 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Dorsey | 35 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 28 | - |
| C. Douglas-Roberts | 33 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 11-12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 19 | - |
| D. Rose | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| R. Dozier | 22 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| A. Allen | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| W. Kemp | 11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Taggart | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Mack | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McKiver | 38 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 11-11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| D. Williams | 36 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Dowell | 36 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| B. Pane | 22 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| T. Toney | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Smith | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Mosley | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Lewis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Cousin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Malone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter