Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (51-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frazier | 36 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. McCamey | 28 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Alexander | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| T. Meacham | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| B. Randle | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Brock | 20 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Jordan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hicks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 35 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| G. Suton | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| R. Morgan | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Walton | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Lucas | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| D. Naymick | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Allen | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| M. Gray | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| I. Ibok | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Summers | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter