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2008-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% -
Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 36.0% 64.0% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +19 (63-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stinson 35 3-14 1-7 3-3 7 2 0 0 5 10 0 -
G. Moore 35 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 0 4 4 8 -
J. Tunnell 30 5-7 2-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 12 12 -
H. Marshall 29 5-10 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 13 4 -
T. McCoy 22 1-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
I. Martin 19 0-2 0-0 1-3 2 1 2 1 1 1 4 -
C. Holmstrom 14 0-4 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
A. Carter 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Yelovich 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Lee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ruffin 35 5-9 1-4 1-1 5 3 3 0 5 12 9 -
S. Maniscalco 32 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 5 5 -
J. Crouch 31 6-12 1-5 0-0 3 6 2 0 1 13 11 -
A. Warren 28 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 8 4 -
T. Wilson 28 3-10 0-2 5-10 6 1 3 0 1 11 10 -
M. Salley 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 4 10 -
R. Austin 14 4-5 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
S. Singh 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -
D. Collins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
W. Egolf 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Cole-Scott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter