Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 37 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 8 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | - |
| B. Stewart | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| P. Turner | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Varnado | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - |
| R. Benock | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Johnson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Johnson | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| E. Bailey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Beverley | 38 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| S. Welsh | 30 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Weems | 28 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| S. Hill | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| G. Ervin | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Washington | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Townes | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| V. Hunter | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Britt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Cox | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter