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2008-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 39.3% 60.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Log Adjusted 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon 37 8-16 3-8 5-6 4 1 1 0 6 24 8 -
C. Rhodes 37 4-11 0-0 3-5 15 1 0 3 5 11 14 -
B. Stewart 30 3-7 0-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 7 1 -
P. Turner 27 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 6 2 -
J. Varnado 24 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 4 2 1 9 -
R. Benock 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 -
B. Johnson 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 4 6 -
R. Johnson 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
E. Bailey 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Beverley 38 6-16 1-6 6-8 10 4 2 0 2 19 17 -
S. Welsh 30 1-7 1-4 4-5 1 1 2 0 0 7 4 -
S. Weems 28 8-17 5-10 1-1 6 1 0 0 3 22 9 -
S. Hill 24 3-3 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 2 3 9 12 -
G. Ervin 23 0-5 0-0 4-4 4 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
M. Washington 22 2-6 1-2 3-4 4 1 0 2 0 8 9 -
D. Townes 19 1-4 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
V. Hunter 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
M. Britt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Cox 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter