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2008-01-30

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 64.3% 35.7% -
Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.5% 40.5% -
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers -1 (80-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Temple 39 0-4 0-3 1-2 8 7 0 0 1 1 11 -
M. Thornton 39 14-23 8-15 2-2 7 1 1 0 0 38 24 -
A. Randolph 31 9-15 0-0 3-4 6 2 0 2 3 21 13 -
T. Martin 25 4-7 2-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 11 6 -
C. Johnson 24 3-9 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 6 1 -
A. Farrer 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Q. Thornton 20 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 3 0 1 1 2 5 -
B. Spencer 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Prowell 40 9-12 2-2 6-6 7 2 1 1 3 26 22 -
Q. Robertson 38 0-2 0-2 2-3 5 6 0 0 1 2 10 -
D. Reed 37 4-12 4-9 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 14 10 -
R. Barrett 33 6-10 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 15 4 -
L. Hargrove 25 5-8 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 11 11 -
F. Tolbert 21 4-10 0-2 4-4 4 2 0 0 2 12 6 -
M. Heramb 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter