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2008-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.8% 15.2% - โœ“
Margin 77.9% 22.1% -6.9 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.9% 14.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 86.2% 13.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -7 (86-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton 33 8-13 5-9 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 23 14 -
J. Smith 32 8-14 4-7 2-3 5 3 5 0 3 22 18 -
T. Smith 28 5-10 0-0 7-7 11 3 0 0 5 17 16 -
J. Howell 25 2-7 1-6 0-3 4 4 0 0 1 5 5 -
W. Chism 21 3-10 1-3 2-3 8 1 2 0 2 9 8 -
R. Smith 15 1-4 0-0 4-7 3 3 0 0 2 6 6 -
D. Crews 14 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 3 4 2 -
B. Williams 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J.P. Prince 13 2-3 1-1 0-1 1 0 2 0 5 5 0 -
R. Childress 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Tabb 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hollinger 38 3-10 3-8 0-1 2 3 2 0 3 9 3 -
A. Gee 36 10-17 1-2 6-10 9 1 0 4 1 27 23 -
R. Hendrix 31 9-12 0-0 2-4 12 1 2 1 4 20 20 -
S. Hillman 29 4-9 0-2 4-5 1 5 2 0 1 12 10 -
M. Torrance 23 4-5 0-0 4-5 1 5 2 0 2 12 13 -
R. Pickett 19 0-4 0-0 0-2 2 3 0 0 5 0 -4 -
M. Riley 11 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
D. Jemison 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
Y. Coleman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter