Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +28 (62-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bedwell | 35 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Merritt | 30 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Peterson | 27 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| G. Bermudez | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Friday | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. King | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| J. Davis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Griffin | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Fraine | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Robertson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thomas | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Holloway | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ben Carter | 29 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| K. Thomas | 26 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Easley | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. George | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Long | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Sanders | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Fotso | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Key | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter