Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +20 (59-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ely | 37 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| J. Holsinger | 35 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -4 | - |
| D. Granger | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Garner | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| V. Gomez | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Couisnard | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Lacey | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Hopf | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Morrow | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Gregory | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Wargel | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mullins | 35 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Bone | 33 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -3 | - |
| M. Shaw | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 | - |
| R. Falker | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| T. Green | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Fay | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Boyle | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Cornelius | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Clemmons | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Coopwood | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Armstrong | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter