Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.8 | ✗ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -1 (82-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Amoroso | 36 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| B. White | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| L. Wade | 30 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | - |
| R. Williams | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Spain | 24 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Thomas | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Davis | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 33 | 10-18 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 14 | - |
| R. Aguilar | 32 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| W. Gardner | 29 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. McFarland | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Woodard | 27 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| J. Simmons | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Nigon | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| F. Clayman | 16 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
* = starter