Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +38 (79-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Raivio | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Watson | 25 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | - |
| J. Stohl | 23 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Ito | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. Knutson | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Sikma | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Carter | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Thompson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Moser | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bouldin | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Downs | 24 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Gray | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Pendergraft | 20 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Pargo | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Heytvelt | 17 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Daye | 15 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| A. Kuso | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| I. Brown | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Sacre | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| W. Foster | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Sorenson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter