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2008-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Alabama A&M Bulldogs Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 64.1% 35.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Margin 64.1% 35.9% -3.2 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 69.3% 30.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.5% 26.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.4% 41.6% - โœ“

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gladness 37 4-7 0-0 11-14 13 2 2 4 6 19 27 -
T. Simpson 30 2-5 0-1 8-10 1 7 1 0 4 12 12 -
E. Hilton 26 5-14 1-3 2-5 3 0 1 0 2 13 1 -
A. Williams 25 3-7 2-3 2-2 12 0 3 1 4 10 15 -
L. Smith 23 5-11 3-6 0-2 3 1 4 0 1 13 9 -
K. Ogbara 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 3 0 0 2 -
D. Jackson 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Belt 9 0-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
R. Porter 6 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
J. Deshields 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
N. Arnold 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ford 37 8-17 1-5 1-4 11 3 0 0 3 18 12 -
T. Jackson 37 8-12 4-6 4-7 0 2 3 3 2 24 18 -
A. Owumi 36 5-13 3-4 4-4 4 1 2 0 5 17 6 -
J. Williams 30 3-13 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 6 -3 -
A. Oliver 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
D. Blackwell 17 1-3 1-2 0-1 1 2 2 0 6 3 -1 -
G. Blakely 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 4 -
J. Kendrick 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter