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Cal Poly Mustangs 69
@
Pacific Tigers 64
2008-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% - ✗
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 ✗ (12.7 off)
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% - ✗

Actual: Pacific Tigers -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Whiten 36 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
T. Shelton 33 1-2 0-0 5-6 5 3 2 4 4 7 15 -
T. Clark 31 3-9 1-4 7-8 5 4 2 0 2 14 14 -
L. Keeler 27 4-8 1-3 6-6 4 1 1 0 3 15 10 -
M. Hanson 21 4-8 3-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 11 6 -
C. Thomas 18 0-4 0-2 4-4 0 4 2 0 0 4 6 -
D. Vance 18 4-6 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
C. Anderson 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Leavitt 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Manley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Johnson 36 8-14 3-6 2-4 4 7 1 0 4 21 15 -
C. Troyer 33 1-6 1-5 2-4 0 1 0 0 2 5 -2 -
A. Brown 28 1-1 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 3 4 6 -
C. Neimeyer 24 5-6 1-2 3-5 6 0 0 0 2 14 12 -
M. Kirby 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 5 2 0 2 3 6 -
J. Ford 19 4-5 0-0 3-3 5 1 2 0 0 11 14 -
B. LeDuc 14 0-6 0-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Nunnally 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
T. Smith 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
C.J. Morgan 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter