Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 38 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Padgett | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Palacios | 27 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| E. Sosa | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. McGee | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Clark | 18 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Caracter | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Knowles | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Scott | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Price | 39 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| S. Robinson | 36 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| C. Austrie | 36 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Adrien | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| H. Thabeet | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Kelly | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Edwards | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Beverly | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Mandeldove | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter