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2008-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.2% 57.8% -
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% -
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Williams 38 2-10 2-8 1-2 7 3 2 1 2 7 8 -
D. Padgett 29 5-7 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 3 0 12 15 -
J. Palacios 27 5-12 3-9 3-4 4 0 1 0 2 16 7 -
E. Sosa 24 3-7 1-3 0-2 0 4 0 0 1 7 3 -
J. Smith 21 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 6 6 -
A. McGee 21 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 6 5 -
E. Clark 18 2-8 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 4 0 -
D. Caracter 11 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 0 0 6 6 -
P. Knowles 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
W. Scott 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Price 39 8-17 2-6 2-3 7 4 2 0 2 20 14 -
S. Robinson 36 7-13 0-2 2-4 10 3 0 1 0 16 17 -
C. Austrie 36 2-8 1-3 4-4 3 3 1 0 3 9 5 -
J. Adrien 32 3-6 0-0 6-7 10 1 0 0 1 12 16 -
H. Thabeet 26 4-7 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 3 2 9 5 -
C. Kelly 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
G. Edwards 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 2 1 2 2 -
D. Beverly 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Mandeldove 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter