Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stinson | 39 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| G. Moore | 37 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | - |
| H. Marshall | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. McCoy | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| I. Martin | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Holmstrom | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Lee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Richardson | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 29 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| D. Johnson | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Sampay | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| L. Dyer | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| E. Holloway | 23 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Odzic | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Vandello | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Holtz | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter