Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (29.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +33 (70-37). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 37 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| C. Moore | 29 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5 | - |
| K. Coble | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Williams | 24 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Ryan | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Nash | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Baran | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Capocci | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Okrzesik | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Houlihan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Melchior | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frazier | 29 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | - |
| T. Meacham | 28 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| B. Randle | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. McCamey | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Brock | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Alexander | 13 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Cole | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Jordan | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Holdren | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| C. Hicks | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Semrau | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter