Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 31 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Sims | 25 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| E. Udoh | 22 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Merritt | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Wright | 18 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Grady | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Coleman | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 35 | 7-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| T. Walton | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - |
| R. Morgan | 28 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| G. Suton | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| K. Lucas | 25 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| D. Naymick | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Gray | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Allen | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Summers | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Herzog | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter