Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Wedel | 38 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| S. Morgan | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| K. Gant | 31 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Lance | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| I. Koggu | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Y. Chia-Kur | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | - |
| A. Farmer | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Brazelton | 33 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| C. Lee | 33 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 10-13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 27 | - |
| J. Evans | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Rogers | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Walker | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A.J. Slaughter | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| O. Mendez-Valdez | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| B. Siakam | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Magley | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Pettigrew | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter