Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✗ (6.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -6 (73-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. White | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| B. Benson | 26 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 5-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. Bush | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Agwumaro | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| B. Thomas | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Gough | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. Holder | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Fullenwider | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D. Moseley | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Sloan | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| G. Taylor | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shank | 37 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D. Gibson | 29 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | - |
| M. Smith | 29 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| I. Allen | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. Ludwick | 27 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Spencer | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Francis | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Permenter | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Dade | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter