Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell | 41 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Taylor | 39 | 10-22 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 8 | - |
| D. Noel | 37 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Davis | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Cartwright | 25 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Battle | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Yotio | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Thornton | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fall | 43 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Killen | 42 | 10-17 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| R. Harp | 35 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Roberts | 35 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Walker | 28 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Malone | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Spencer | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| P. Ritter | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter